Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000916 0.000951 0.000987 0.001026 0.001067 0.001110 0.001157
2025-09-28 0.000849 0.000900 0.000954 0.001014 0.001081 0.001152 0.001235
2025-10-05 0.000780 0.000839 0.000903 0.000978 0.001062 0.001155 0.001266
2025-10-12 0.000743 0.000811 0.000885 0.000973 0.001076 0.001192 0.001336
2025-10-19 0.000714 0.000788 0.000870 0.000970 0.001089 0.001228 0.001405
2025-10-26 0.000686 0.000764 0.000853 0.000962 0.001095 0.001254 0.001461
2025-11-02 0.000666 0.000749 0.000844 0.000964 0.001111 0.001291 0.001532
2025-11-09 0.000643 0.000728 0.000828 0.000954 0.001112 0.001309 0.001579
2025-11-16 0.000622 0.000709 0.000812 0.000944 0.001112 0.001325 0.001622
2025-11-23 0.000615 0.000707 0.000815 0.000957 0.001142 0.001380 0.001721
2025-11-30 0.000603 0.000697 0.000810 0.000960 0.001157 0.001415 0.001795
2025-12-07 0.000586 0.000681 0.000796 0.000949 0.001153 0.001425 0.001833
2025-12-14 0.000568 0.000663 0.000778 0.000934 0.001145 0.001429 0.001863
2025-12-21 0.000554 0.000650 0.000768 0.000928 0.001147 0.001448 0.001916
2025-12-28 0.000531 0.000624 0.000740 0.000898 0.001116 0.001417 0.001890
2026-01-04 0.000521 0.000615 0.000733 0.000895 0.001121 0.001439 0.001949
2026-01-11 0.000511 0.000606 0.000726 0.000893 0.001127 0.001462 0.002010
2026-01-18 0.000500 0.000596 0.000716 0.000886 0.001127 0.001475 0.002054
2026-01-25 0.000493 0.000590 0.000713 0.000887 0.001138 0.001505 0.002129
2026-02-01 0.000483 0.000579 0.000703 0.000879 0.001134 0.001512 0.002166
2026-02-08 0.000473 0.000569 0.000692 0.000870 0.001129 0.001518 0.002201
2026-02-15 0.000471 0.000569 0.000697 0.000882 0.001156 0.001574 0.002327
2026-02-22 0.000465 0.000565 0.000695 0.000884 0.001168 0.001607 0.002414